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What Beijing’s Muted Response to Wagner Mutiny Tells Us About China-Russia Relations – And What It Doesn’t
It’s hard to overstate how what happens in Russia has historically shaped thinking in China about their own country. But many in China may wonder how much they have in common with Russia today.
Experts say the chaotic coup staged by the Wagner Group under Prigozhin could make Xi Jinping think twice about starting a war in the Taiwan Strait.
In just a few months, U.S. officials have pivoted from publicly warning Beijing not to provide material support for Russia’s war in Ukraine to acknowledging there is a role for China to play in brokering peace talks.
China’s and Russia’s roles have been reversed, and their ambitions restored — not in the name of communist ideology, but in light of an aggressive, militarist nationalism that animates both regimes.
Despite Xi’s efforts to present China as a peacemaker in Russia’s war in Ukraine, some observers said Beijing’s priority is not for the war to come to an end. Instead, the main importance for China is to ensure the Russian regime remains in power.
Xi was unanimously voted to serve a third term as the president and commander of the 2 million-member People’s Liberation Army.
The arbitrariness in the way they deal with their own national history helps Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian leader Vladimir Putin secure power and justify their policies.